My Position on the GHG Crisis
NOTE: The GHG crisis, which is typically called "climate change", has been deeply mystified by scientists and journalists. Below I outline my position on this disaster. The text is deliberately succinct to avoid confusing verbiage.
August 4, 2020
A. Cause and Solution
Greenhouse gases (GHGs) cause ecological damage when their concentrations rise above the Holocene levels that fostered human civilization. Because this damage is proportional to the magnitude and duration of the elevated concentrations, the rational response is to return these to Holocene levels as quickly as possible.
In brief, the cause of the GHG crisis is unsafe concentrations, and the solution is to rapidly reduce them to safe levels ASAP.
B. Required Measures
The following three measures are required to implement this solution:
- Minimize emissions by increasing GHG efficiencies as rapidly as is technically feasible, and in the rich world by decreasing consumption and population levels as rapidly as is socially and ethically feasible.
- Massively deploy GHG removal (GGR) to extract unsafe GHGs from the atmosphere in the shortest time possible.
- Prudently deploy solar radiation management (SRM) to minimize the risk of runway global warming until safe concentrations are achieved.
C. Critique of the Standard GHG Position
- The target of "net-zero emissions by 2050" will permit concentrations to continue rising for thirty more years, which means that tipping points and points of no return will almost certainly be passed.
- Using a temperature increase such as 1.5°C or 2°C as the target is illogical because ecological damage is caused by elevated temperatures acting over time. Stabilizing the Earth's surface at such a temperature is therefore not a solution.
- Using such a temperature increase as the target is also ecocidal given that the current anomaly of just 1.2°C has already caused massive environmental damage.
- Because GHG concentrations have long been at unsafe levels, there is currently no "carbon budget" for safe emissions.
- Because GGR and SRM are essential for achieving safe concentrations, delaying or avoiding these measures is existentially irresponsible.